How Likely Is a Tornado in Bradley County, AR?
Bradley County, AR: what NOAA's tornado record says
Bradley County has recorded 21 tornado touches in NOAA's 76-year database, a rate of roughly one every 3.6 years - our Moderate band. Put another way: Bradley County sees more tornado activity than 52% of US counties. Among 75 Arkansas counties in this dataset, Bradley County ranks 59 for how often a tornado touches down.
Beyond the frequency band: violent history
1 tornado touching Bradley County reached violent (EF4-5) strength since 1950. That single fact carries more weight for the shelter decision than the county's overall frequency band.
The dollar figure Bradley County's rating leads to
Cost nationally: $2,890-$13,280, about $7,645 typical. Arkansas has no state rebate program confirmed here; FEMA's underlying 75% cost-share exists nationwide, but applying through a state program is what usually makes it real, and none was found for Arkansas this pass.
What a direct hit isn't required for
Tornado outbreaks routinely knock out power across Arkansas for days, separately from any single house getting hit. A portable battery bank keeps a fridge, phone chargers and a radio running through that gap - cheaper and faster to set up than a generator.
What this number is, and is not
One caveat before relying on Bradley County's number: it is county-wide, and it covers about 649 square miles, so a single touch counts the same as one in a county a fraction of that size. Weaker pre-1990s tornadoes are also documented as undercounted in NOAA's own record. Bradley County has about 9,935 residents.