How Likely Is a Tornado in Bronx County, NY?
Bronx County's tornado history, by the numbers
Bronx County has recorded 1 tornado touches in NOAA's 76-year database, a rate of roughly one every 76.9 years - our Minimal band. Put another way: Bronx County sees more tornado activity than 7% of US counties. New York has 62 counties in this dataset; Bronx County ranks 59 of them by frequency.
Beyond the frequency band: violent history
1 weak and 0 significant tornadoes make up Bronx County's 1-track record - none violent. NOAA has never logged an EF4 or EF5 crossing this county.
The dollar figure Bronx County's rating leads to
Cost nationally: $2,890-$13,280, about $7,645 typical. New York has no state rebate program confirmed here; FEMA's underlying 75% cost-share exists nationwide, but applying through a state program is what usually makes it real, and none was found for New York this pass.
What a direct hit isn't required for
Power loss after a tornado outbreak in New York often reaches homes the storm itself never touched. A battery-backup unit covers the outage without the fuel and venting a generator needs.
What this number is, and is not
One caveat before relying on Bronx County's number: it is county-wide, and it covers about 42 square miles, so a single touch counts the same as one in a county a fraction of that size. Weaker pre-1990s tornadoes are also documented as undercounted in NOAA's own record. Bronx County has about 1,384,724 residents.