How Likely Is a Tornado in Buckingham County, VA?
How likely is a tornado in Buckingham County, VA?
Buckingham County has recorded 5 tornado touches in NOAA's 76-year database, a rate of roughly one every 15.2 years - our Minimal band. Put another way: Buckingham County sees more tornado activity than 16% of US counties. Virginia has 133 counties in this dataset; Buckingham County ranks 73 of them by frequency.
Beyond the frequency band: violent history
3 weak and 2 significant tornadoes make up Buckingham County's 5-track record - none violent. NOAA has never logged an EF4 or EF5 crossing this county.
The dollar figure Buckingham County's rating leads to
Cost nationally: $2,890-$13,280, about $7,645 typical. Virginia has no state rebate program confirmed here; FEMA's underlying 75% cost-share exists nationwide, but applying through a state program is what usually makes it real, and none was found for Virginia this pass.
What a direct hit isn't required for
A direct hit is not required for Buckingham County to lose power - outbreak-wide outages across Virginia regularly reach homes and businesses well outside the actual tracks. A battery bank covers that gap without a generator's fuel and venting needs.
What this number is, and is not
One caveat before relying on Buckingham County's number: it is county-wide, and it covers about 580 square miles, so a single touch counts the same as one in a county a fraction of that size. Weaker pre-1990s tornadoes are also documented as undercounted in NOAA's own record. Buckingham County has about 17,115 residents.