How Likely Is a Tornado in De Baca County, NM?
De Baca County's tornado history, by the numbers
De Baca County has recorded 10 tornado touches in NOAA's 76-year database, a rate of roughly one every 7.6 years - our Low band. Put another way: De Baca County sees more tornado activity than 27% of US counties. New Mexico has 33 counties in this dataset; De Baca County ranks 21 of them by frequency.
Beyond the frequency band: violent history
9 weak and 0 significant tornadoes make up De Baca County's 10-track record - none violent. NOAA has never logged an EF4 or EF5 crossing this county.
The dollar figure De Baca County's rating leads to
Cost nationally: $2,890-$13,280, about $7,645 typical. New Mexico has no state rebate program confirmed here; FEMA's underlying 75% cost-share exists nationwide, but applying through a state program is what usually makes it real, and none was found for New Mexico this pass.
What a direct hit isn't required for
1,657 people live in De Baca County, and a tornado outbreak's power loss usually reaches far more of New Mexico than the tracks themselves touch. A portable battery unit is the faster, no-fuel way to bridge that outage.
What this number is, and is not
One caveat before relying on De Baca County's number: it is county-wide, and it covers about 2,323 square miles, so a single touch counts the same as one in a county a fraction of that size. Weaker pre-1990s tornadoes are also documented as undercounted in NOAA's own record. De Baca County has about 1,657 residents.