TornadoRiskCheck

Forrest County, MS: Tornado Risk and Shelter Cost

Highrisk
47 recorded tornado tracks since 1957 2 hit violent (EF4-5) strength - the count that changes the shelter math.

How likely is a tornado in Forrest County, MS?

NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has recorded 47 tornado tracks touching Forrest County since 1957 - about one every 1.6 years on average. That puts it in our High band nationally. Against the rest of the country, that is the 86th percentile for frequency. Within Mississippi alone, Forrest County ranks 30 of 82 counties for tornado frequency.

Has Forrest County ever had a violent tornado?

Yes, 2 times: Forrest County has an EF4-5 tornado on record. Wherever that history exists, FEMA's safe-room case applies regardless of how often the county gets touched overall.

Paying for it, if Forrest County's history says you should

Nationally, storm shelters and safe rooms run $2,890-$13,280. Because Forrest County is in Mississippi, the Mississippi Emergency Management Agency's Safe Room Program can cut that by 75% (capped at $3,500), to about $722.5-$9,780 net - check current funding status before counting on it.

The gap a shelter does not cover

The storm that misses Forrest County outright can still take its power out - outbreak-scale outages across Mississippi are common well beyond the tracked path. A battery-backup unit handles that without a generator's setup or fuel.

Check your coverage, not just your risk

Because Mississippi allows wind/hail exclusions on standard homeowners policies, a Forrest County homeowner should confirm tornado wind damage is actually covered, not assume it - a separate endorsement is common here.

County-level, not address-level

Treat this as a county-wide figure, not a prediction for one address. Forrest County covers about 466 square miles, so a single touch here counts the same as a single touch in a county a fraction of that size. And records from before the 1990s, NOAA notes, undercount weaker tornadoes in areas with less storm-spotting coverage at the time. Forrest County has about 78,435 residents.