Tornado Risk in Goshen County, WY
How likely is a tornado in Goshen County, WY?
88 tornado tracks have crossed Goshen County since 1953 by NOAA's count, roughly one every 0.9 years - the High band on this site's scale. That is the 97th percentile nationally for tornado frequency. Within Wyoming alone, Goshen County ranks 3 of 23 counties for tornado frequency.
The number that matters more than frequency
No violent (EF4-5) tornado has been recorded in Goshen County in NOAA's 76-year database. Of its 88 recorded tracks, 70 were weak (EF0-1) and 9 significant (EF2-3).
Shelter and safe-room economics
Wyoming does not currently have a confirmed state rebate layered on top of FEMA's 75% Hazard Mitigation cost-share, so a Goshen County homeowner should expect the full national range: $2,890-$13,280, $7,645 typical.
Power after the storm, not just shelter during it
The storm that misses Goshen County outright can still take its power out - outbreak-scale outages across Wyoming are common well beyond the tracked path. A battery-backup unit handles that without a generator's setup or fuel.
What Goshen County's figure does not tell you
Goshen County's figure is county-wide, not address-specific. Goshen County covers about 2,226 square miles, so a single touch here counts the same as a single touch in a county a fraction of that size. NOAA also documents that older records undercount weaker tornadoes from before Doppler radar became standard. Goshen County has about 12,635 residents.