TornadoRiskCheck

Lincoln County, CO: Tornado Risk and Shelter Cost

Highrisk
118 recorded tornado tracks since 1951 None crossed into violent (EF4-5) territory in 76 years of records.

How likely is a tornado in Lincoln County, CO?

NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has recorded 118 tornado tracks touching Lincoln County since 1951 - about one every 0.6 years on average. That puts it in our High band nationally. Against the rest of the country, that is the 99th percentile for frequency. Colorado has 64 counties in this dataset; Lincoln County ranks 6 of them by frequency.

Has Lincoln County ever had a violent tornado?

Nothing violent in Lincoln County's file: 118 tracks total, topping out at significant (EF2-3) strength on 8 of them, zero at EF4-5.

Paying for it, if Lincoln County's history says you should

A storm shelter or in-residence safe room typically runs $2,890-$13,280 nationally, around $7,645 for a common single-family installation. No state-administered rebate program specific to Colorado was confirmed for this site - FEMA's own Hazard Mitigation Assistance grants fund 75% of an approved safe room nationwide, but only some states currently run a homeowner-facing application on top of that.

The gap a shelter does not cover

A direct hit is not required for Lincoln County to lose power - outbreak-wide outages across Colorado regularly reach homes and businesses well outside the actual tracks. A battery bank covers that gap without a generator's fuel and venting needs.

County-level, not address-level

Treat this as a county-wide figure, not a prediction for one address. Lincoln County covers about 2,578 square miles, so a single touch here counts the same as a single touch in a county a fraction of that size. And records from before the 1990s, NOAA notes, undercount weaker tornadoes in areas with less storm-spotting coverage at the time. Lincoln County has about 5,598 residents.