How Likely Is a Tornado in McKenzie County, ND?
How likely is a tornado in McKenzie County, ND?
McKenzie County has recorded 23 tornado touches in NOAA's 76-year database, a rate of roughly one every 3.3 years - our Moderate band. Put another way: McKenzie County sees more tornado activity than 56% of US counties. North Dakota has 53 counties in this dataset; McKenzie County ranks 37 of them by frequency.
Beyond the frequency band: violent history
16 weak and 3 significant tornadoes make up McKenzie County's 23-track record - none violent. NOAA has never logged an EF4 or EF5 crossing this county.
The dollar figure McKenzie County's rating leads to
Cost nationally: $2,890-$13,280, about $7,645 typical. North Dakota has no state rebate program confirmed here; FEMA's underlying 75% cost-share exists nationwide, but applying through a state program is what usually makes it real, and none was found for North Dakota this pass.
What a direct hit isn't required for
A direct hit is not required for McKenzie County to lose power - outbreak-wide outages across North Dakota regularly reach homes and businesses well outside the actual tracks. A battery bank covers that gap without a generator's fuel and venting needs.
What this number is, and is not
One caveat before relying on McKenzie County's number: it is county-wide, and it covers about 2,760 square miles, so a single touch counts the same as one in a county a fraction of that size. Weaker pre-1990s tornadoes are also documented as undercounted in NOAA's own record. McKenzie County has about 14,782 residents.