How Likely Is a Tornado in Montgomery County, AR?
Montgomery County's tornado history, by the numbers
Montgomery County has recorded 16 tornado touches in NOAA's 76-year database, a rate of roughly one every 4.7 years - our Moderate band. Put another way: Montgomery County sees more tornado activity than 42% of US counties. Arkansas has 75 counties in this dataset; Montgomery County ranks 70 of them by frequency.
Beyond the frequency band: violent history
12 weak and 4 significant tornadoes make up Montgomery County's 16-track record - none violent. NOAA has never logged an EF4 or EF5 crossing this county.
The dollar figure Montgomery County's rating leads to
Cost nationally: $2,890-$13,280, about $7,645 typical. Arkansas has no state rebate program confirmed here; FEMA's underlying 75% cost-share exists nationwide, but applying through a state program is what usually makes it real, and none was found for Arkansas this pass.
What a direct hit isn't required for
A direct hit is not required for Montgomery County to lose power - outbreak-wide outages across Arkansas regularly reach homes and businesses well outside the actual tracks. A battery bank covers that gap without a generator's fuel and venting needs.
What this number is, and is not
One caveat before relying on Montgomery County's number: it is county-wide, and it covers about 780 square miles, so a single touch counts the same as one in a county a fraction of that size. Weaker pre-1990s tornadoes are also documented as undercounted in NOAA's own record. Montgomery County has about 8,510 residents.