How Likely Is a Tornado in Salem County, NJ?
Salem County, NJ: what NOAA's tornado record says
Salem County has recorded 4 tornado touches in NOAA's 76-year database, a rate of roughly one every 18.9 years - our Minimal band. Put another way: Salem County sees more tornado activity than 14% of US counties. New Jersey has 21 counties in this dataset; Salem County ranks 19 of them by frequency.
Beyond the frequency band: violent history
2 weak and 2 significant tornadoes make up Salem County's 4-track record - none violent. NOAA has never logged an EF4 or EF5 crossing this county.
The dollar figure Salem County's rating leads to
Cost nationally: $2,890-$13,280, about $7,645 typical. New Jersey has no state rebate program confirmed here; FEMA's underlying 75% cost-share exists nationwide, but applying through a state program is what usually makes it real, and none was found for New Jersey this pass.
What a direct hit isn't required for
Power loss after a tornado outbreak in New Jersey often reaches homes the storm itself never touched. A battery-backup unit covers the outage without the fuel and venting a generator needs.
What this number is, and is not
One caveat before relying on Salem County's number: it is county-wide, and it covers about 332 square miles, so a single touch counts the same as one in a county a fraction of that size. Weaker pre-1990s tornadoes are also documented as undercounted in NOAA's own record. Salem County has about 65,874 residents.