How Likely Is a Tornado in Windham County, VT?
Windham County, VT: what NOAA's tornado record says
Windham County has recorded 5 tornado touches in NOAA's 76-year database, a rate of roughly one every 15.2 years - our Minimal band. Put another way: Windham County sees more tornado activity than 17% of US counties. Among 14 Vermont counties in this dataset, Windham County ranks 4 for how often a tornado touches down.
Beyond the frequency band: violent history
4 weak and 1 significant tornadoes make up Windham County's 5-track record - none violent. NOAA has never logged an EF4 or EF5 crossing this county.
The dollar figure Windham County's rating leads to
Cost nationally: $2,890-$13,280, about $7,645 typical. Vermont has no state rebate program confirmed here; FEMA's underlying 75% cost-share exists nationwide, but applying through a state program is what usually makes it real, and none was found for Vermont this pass.
What a direct hit isn't required for
The storm that misses Windham County outright can still take its power out - outbreak-scale outages across Vermont are common well beyond the tracked path. A battery-backup unit handles that without a generator's setup or fuel.
What this number is, and is not
One caveat before relying on Windham County's number: it is county-wide, and it covers about 786 square miles, so a single touch counts the same as one in a county a fraction of that size. Weaker pre-1990s tornadoes are also documented as undercounted in NOAA's own record. Windham County has about 45,627 residents.